9/10/2013

1.Global deal on airline emissions will come into force from 2020.
2.IMF predicts LESSER Crude prices in the 2014 Fiscal.
Sensex +266 ;  20248   
[CAD has been brought down keeping the Rupee,HIGHLY weak.Crude Bill and under-recoveries by the OMCs will INCREASE Fiscal Deficit.India Inc with Forex loans will have problems. Inflation will be high.All bad for the economy]
VIX India    25.87 -0.68 -2.56 %
Institutional Investors Rs Crores
FII   +327
DII  -97
Nifty Premium  45.80 points[ on 9/10/2013]
Nifty P/C 1.31
Gold  1307;MCX 29303 / 10 grams 5% premium for small lots in India
Silver $ 703 MCX Rs 49019/Kg Premium 10% in India for small lots.
Copper $ 3.2096 / Lb
 THAT IS,PHYSICAL GOLD HAS DEMAND AND HENCE THE LOW PRICE SHOWS MANIPULATION MISUSING THE DERIVATIVES,BY THE VESTED INTERESTS.
BDI $  2125;-23;;-0.98%  ABOVE 200 DMA 1029.48
Reuters CRB Index $ 285.50.
Brent $109.06/bbl
US 10 Year Treasury Yield 2.68%;-0.02%
----------------------
Indian Crude Basket  8/10/2013
$/bbl 107.73
Rs/bbl 6645.36
At Rupee V Dollar 61.69
Last Fortnight September 16 th to 30th Rs 6739.66
--------------------------
US Dollar Index   80.41
Re V US Dollar 61.84
HSBC PMI rises from 48.5 in August to 49.6 in September 2013.
Below 50 is bad.


HSBC Services PMI,44.6 in September against 47.6 in August 2013.

Will be updated.......

Letter to the prez 27/3/2013

 Honourable president,
                     
SUBJECT:-India is being sold to Foreigners,her Sovereingty is AT stake.
Wish you,your Family and Staff a very happy Holi.
                      I am very much,worried about the policies of the M M Singh-led Coalition.I have written a letter to the 12th president of India,which can be found at this site.
       http://ramadeva2.wordpress.com/
                       The present Coalition at the Centre under M M Singh has been misusing CRISIS CAPITALISM,to usher in anti-India and pro-MNC policies, which entail Loss of Revenue, Sovereignty(SEZs,FDIs and the proposed NMIZs).
  The latest excuse by Chidambaram,to usher in FDI in Defence citing,high CAD is the height of it.Please see the following link:-
http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/cnbc-tv18-comments/finmin-mulls-measures-as-q3fy13-cad-may-hit-6-sources_843457.htmltoptag

First India has to reduce Crude Oil import,which is not done to:-
i)Maintain the primacy of the US Dollar.This will initiate a vicious cycle,in Rupee viz-a-viz the US Dollar.
ii)Appease the MNC and Indian Automakers.
ii)To sell a high level of petroleum fuels for the profit of Oil Cos especially the private ones,by encouraging Consumerism with cheap loans from banks to buy vehicles like csrs, SUVs etc.
      The other areas in which the Nation is losing ,and hence need immediate and urgent attention,are:-
1.Tax-evasion under the pretext of "Charity in Education".Charity has been misused by many "profitable educational institutions",as per reports.
      This will pose a very great danger in Future or is already doing so,via Charity in Education,used as FRONT.
      This is reminiscent of the tax-exempt Foundations of the USA,as revealed by eminent,late Mr Norman Dodd. Please use the following links:-
     

 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YUYCBfmIcHM

  http://vimeo.com/8611105

2.The stimuli started in 2008 ,have to be stopped.these are also SUBSIDIES.These ERODE the wealth of Indians,due to erosion in the value of the Rupee.

3.In this context India has to take up,with WTO,the QEs and printing of notes by the US Federal Reserve,ECB,BoE and BoJ etc.These are also SUBSIDIES and hence unfair.
     They export the USA's Inflation worldwide which includes India too.
4.Under-recoveries claimed by the OMCs are IMAGINARY.They are misused mainly to HIKE the prices of INDIVIDUAL petroleum fuels,to benefit the Private players,the MNCs and Indian private players.
     Cost-based pricing of petroleum fuels,which was being used till 1990s,was replaced UNETHICALLY.In the Cost-based pricing,the prices of INDIVIDUAL petroleum fuels is NOT POSSIBLE.My Cost-based pricing,using break even rice,shows that the OMcs make a profit of Rs 2000 per barrel of Crude refined.Please use the following links:-

http://veerar-analysis.blogspot.in/2012/04/deregulationomcsunder-recoveries-and.html

http://veerar-analysis.blogspot.in/2011/12/globalists-and-usas-way-of-getting.html

http://indiatracker.wordpress.com/2012/06/23/unethical-pricing-of-petroelum-products-in-india/
      In addition,the tax collected by the National Exchequer(Centre and States combined), is always far more than the so called SUBSIDY.
       obcp
5.FTAs are being signed or about to be signed left,right and centre,which will pose a very great threat to the survival of India,her businesses and her Sovereignty.
    FTAs should NOT be signed.
6.Most of these are due to, possible and strongly suspected DOMINATION of the IMF and the World Bank in India's decision-making.
Honourable President,I request,that India be NOT sold to Foreigners and he Sovereignty maintained,which the present polices will not be ab le to.
       .

Thanking You,
Yours truly,

K.V.Sadasivan

      Your Request/Grievance is Registered Successfully!!

International Bankers Hoard Gold But Do Not Want Ordinary People To Invest In Physical Gold

1.The HYPE against protecting one's wealth by purchasing physical Gold,by the vested interest is, most intense, but NOT surprising.
2.For example in India ,the DICTATORSHIP of the IMF and the World Bank,is going on from 2004 and for some period during which M M Singh was RBI Governor and Finance Minister.No wonder,M M Singh is reported and very strongly suspected to be a PUPPET of these two banks.The US treasury,holds 51% in the World Bank. The Planning Commission of India is under two,who are NOT elected to the Lok Sabha by popular vote. 
     IMF and the World Bank are ordering the Planning Commission about,going by the policies being followed.
3.Gold import is being discouraged by hiking duties,citing high CAD,brought about by M M Singh on the diktat of his Masters,via Crisis Capitalism. but Crude import,is NOT reduced. The following are noteworthy:-
i) Crisis capitalism is being misused to make M M Singh llook a Hero.Deux ex machina.......But M M Singh simply,follows the orders of the IMF and the World Bank who,want to destroy Nations,by immersing them in Debt and bankrupting them with wrong polices. 
ii)Crude import is kept HIGHER for the PRIMACY of the US Dollar.
iii)India,most probably,was on the losing side of a Diomidian Gold Swap with BoE[48MT] and UBS[20MT],in the 1990s.
4.Gold Bank formation is mooted.
   As per experts,one's wealth should not in Banks,as the fear of Confiscation by various means has started increasing,more so after Cyprus.Many are not aware of India's case prior to and during the 1990s.Gold falls into this category.Physical Gold should be in one's
own possession and NOT to be kept in Banks[lockers etc].
5.Tim Geithner asked Pranab Mukherjee the then Finance Minister to encourage Stock Markets in 2010.
      Stock Markets are for usurping power in Cos with M and As and STEALING the wealth of the unwary.Many fora,contain sob stories,as to how,many Indians lost their wealth in lakhs of Rupees. In 2008,I also lost in Stocks,but was saved by Gold.After that,I have stopped,investing in Stocks.Even in churning the existing Stocks I have lost,some amount.
     Now my system is:-
i)Buy Stocks during a crash. 
ii)Sell during the Bull Phase Euphoria.
    During the recent Bull Phase,[as on 24/3/2013], I sold some Stocks.My judgment proved correct.
    From the net,I have got information that 90% investors lose money in Stock Markets.
6.Many vested interests are against Gold,but all Investment Advisors recommend 20% of one's wealth to be in precious metals,preferably Gold and a small amount in Silver.
7.Many argue,that one does not get interest,on physical Gold, etc.These are to be ignored.  
8.Gold and Silver prices, are suppressed, by having HUGE Shorts in their Futures,by the International and Wall Street Bankers.
      Crude price is kept HIGHER by manipulation.    
To be continued........

15/3/2013

1.CCI may act against auto-parts monopolizers.
2.Cobrapost expose of Indian private bank Majors,weakens the Sensex.
3.Shri Chidambaram, correctly assesses, the reason for CAD and Fiscal deficit.The ,massive $150 Billion Crude Oil import,when the OMCs claim losses.

4."Above Rs 1 Crore", Loan cases [NOT RETURNED ],in PSU Banks, increase.Total amount in this category Rs 68000 Crores.
5.Petrol price reduced by Rs 2/= per Litre,with effect from 15/3/2013 midnight.. Including VAT etc this becomes,about Rs 2.40/=

Sensex      ;               -142;         19427
vix[fear index]:-     
India  -                                     14.66; -1.54; -9.51 %
Institutional Buying:-        
 i)Foreign  Rs  Crores      -         +607
ii)Indian    " "                  -           -829   
BDI   $                                      892; 
Crosses and Above 200 DMA of  865,but still low.It is worth noting that Coal Stocks are piling up in China as some Steel Mills have been closed.
GLOBAL ECONOMY  in trouble,DUE TO LOW BDI.Fiscal Deficits and Debts  of many nations,ARE VERY HIGH.
2015:-Bond Redemption of the Nations having the HIGHEST Debts,led by Japan.HUGE QEs expected.Currencies will crumble.Commodities will dominate.Land too. 
Gold       1592 $/US Oz ;                  Rs   29365 / 10 grams[MCX]
[ CME reduces margins in Gold($ 1700 per contract),Silver about $4300 per contract,Silver and  Copper($500),on 16/11/2012.
Shorting Gold and Silver are,reportedly,aided by the various Agencies,and turn a blind eye or look the other way. ]
Silver      925 $/kg  ;                      Rs      54215 /Kg [MCX}
Copper   3.5157 $/lb    
CCI or Reuters CRB Index US $ 296.44
Brent Crude    110.08  $/bbl                 [43% in Indian Crude basket]
Oman Dubai Crude price $ 105.37/bbl [57% in  Indian Crude basket];15/3/2013 0815 Hrs IST
Indian Crude Basket as per the above $107.40/bbl [15/3/2013  One day Lag possible,hence approximate.Pl see previous day's Brent price to get the exact one]
----------------------
Official data from THIS link
Crude Oil (Indian Basket 13/3/2013
-     In US Dollar ($/bbl) 105.67 
-    In  Rs   (`/bbl)          5752.67  
-     last fortnight      "   "         6033.84[February 16 th to 28th,2013]
Exchange Rate  (`/$) 54.44
----------------------
US  Dollar Index       82.93 
 Rs    V Dollar          54.02
The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a measure of factory production -stood at 54.2 in February, . after hitting a six month high level of 53.2 in January,2013. It stood at 53.7 in November.
Above 50 indicates growth.Applies only for production,but NOT Utilities.
The HSBC services Purchasing Managers' Index, based on a survey of around 400 companies, fell to 54.2 in February from a one-year high of 57.5 in January. It was the biggest one-month fall in nearly a year.
Nifty Futures [Monthly]       about 31 points  PREMIUM,15/3/2013
P/C  NIFTY-       1.46
Will be updated.....

M M Singh's CRISIS CAPITALISM for FDI....

  M M Singh, is,a member,Club Of Rome,NOT ELECTED,and is very strongly suspected to be PLANTED by the IMF and the World bank controlled by the Western Globalist oligarchs.
  The Globalists misuse,"CRISIS CAPITALISM", for ushering in UNPOPULAR  policies favouring  them,but anti-national,anti-poor,anti-Middle Class and ant-Fixed-income Groups,of India.
    Many policies,from 2004,have been implemented this way.What more,M M Singh himself,is very strongly,suspected to have been made the FINANCE MINISTER IN THE 1990s,under P.V.Narasimha Rao,by resorting to such a shenanigan, by M M Singh himself along with his master,the IMF.These have resulted in huge Financial losses by way Tax Revenues to the National Exchequer,not to speak of the many mega-corruptions,like CoalGate,2 G Spectrum scam,the Under-recoveries Scam of the OMCs,started from ONLY 2005,SEZs,etc.
     Now the RBI Governor Subba Rao says the CAD is HIGH and this can only be brought down by allowing more FDIs!!!What a LIE!!!he has been ordered by the Crisis Capitalist M M Singh.
    FDI will result in :-
1.Loss of Revenue by way of Tax concessions.
2.The Indian Rupee is now in the CONTROL of the FIIs and NOT the RBI!This CONTROL will further be consolidated,by the Foreigners.When a naation LOSES CONTROL over her own CURRENCY,she is doomed.The M M Singh Government has allowed.What legitimacy,it has?Is this NOT anti-National?
    What India needs to do urgently is:-
1.Reduce Crude Oil Import,on an urgently based,on the BREAK-EVEN price for refining.Not doing do,will make the US Dollar against the Indian Rupee,causing a vicious cycle,when the nations' CAD would go on rising! 
2.STOP the stimuli started in 2008 and reportedly continuing.This is reported to be Rs 13 LAKH Crores.
3.Stop the tax concessions for the SEZs.These are reported to be very high.
4.Switzerland,has reportedly,agreed to provide data on Clients,from February,2013.BRING THE BLACKMONEY back.
5.India seems to be losing huge sums.via Transfer Pricing of both the MNCs and Indian Cos.
  High time these were done.Else India will be BANKRUPTED with wrong polices.
26/3/2013:-
      Now, Chidambaram is following Crisis Capitalism.He has allowed CAD to rise to 5%,and threatens that it would rise to 6%,in the Current Fiscal.Fear is the key!!Crude Oil import has to be reduced.This is the correct method now.But he does not do that,for the PRIMACY of the US Dollar and to bring in anti-India and pro-MNC polices like FDI in Defence which will entail Revenue Loss,causing a vicious cycle,to be started.
Will be continued.....

   

India Inching Towards Bankruptcy......

  India's Fiscal Position is very bad,what with:-
1.The Fiscal Deficit VERY HIGH
2.CAD very HIGH
3.External Debt HIGH.
4.Inflation HIGH.
5.Tax Revenue "sacrificed' from 2005,by way of concessions to the  SEZs = Rs 12,69,600 CRORES ,[based upon 2005 figures.Taking Inflation into consideration,this will be very high,NOW].THIS IS MASSIVE ALMOST EQUALLING THE TOTAL ANNUAL EXPENDITURE!!!

 Can a  nation survive with such losses?Definitely not!!
    
6.Under-recoveries claimed by the OMCs,UNJUSTLY,Rs 1,61,000 Crores this Fiscal.Last Fiscal it was Rs 131000 Crores.under-recoveries claimed by the OMCs, go on INCREASING despite massive hikes in the price of the petroleum fuels!!!
  Under-recoveries were started in 2005,after M M Singh became OM in 2004,and so far the loss to the National Exchequer may be in the range of Rs 6 to 7 LAKH CRORES and COUNTING.
7.Losses in CoalGate,2 G spectrum etc are massive.
8.There are also many "minor" scams.
9.STIMULI from 2008 is reported to be Rs 13 LAKH Crores so far and counting,as they are continuing.
10.India Inc lost Rs 24 LAKH Crores in 2007/8,due to ignorance regarding Derivatives/Forex.The involved bankers,were,reportedly let off with petty fines.
       The value of the Rupee has fallen by 300% from 2008 due to this,MASSIVELY ERODING the wealth of Indians..
       India cannot survive with such bad policies. BANKRUPTCY,IS STARING INDIA IN HER FACE.
To be continued.......

Manipulations.....

Draghi manipulated the Euro so that he would not face Inflation.And this may dampen 'recovery"!!!Now there are a whole lot of manipulations going on.Japan is going ahead with QE.
     US Dollar has strengthened and Gold,Silver etc have come down but Crude price is RISING!!!
1.India's Rupee is also kept weak,as CAD is HIGH.But the payment for India's Crude is in US Dollars.How foolish!
2.FIIs control India's Rupee instead of the RBI!
3.Gold import is being curbed.This may strengthen the US Dollar and again the payment for the Crude,the IMPORT of,which is never reduced or sopped,based on the break-even price for refining.
4.India's Fiscal Deficit is being kept DELIBERATELY HIGH to cite the same,as an excuse for ushering anti-India and pro-MNC policies.
5.The so-called,UNDER-RECOVERIES claimed by the OMCs are IMAGINARY but they are being misused for raising the prices of petroleum fuels for the following:-
i)To benefit the Private players Indian and Foreign[Shell India,Mittal,RIL,Essar etc]
ii)To benefit the MNCs who are going to enter Retail marketing of petroleum Fuels in India,after the hikes are handsome enough.That's why Diesel is ,proposed, to be increased by 40 to 50 paise every month.
To be continued.......

WEEKLY TREND;20/1/2013

The Republicans agree for raising Debt Ceiling ,FOR THREE MONTHS.Gold, Silver,Copper ,Crude etc may soar.The long-term,outlook for these is always:-BULLISH
1.THE MARKETS MAY BE SLIGHTLY POSITIVE in view of the DIVESTMENT of Oil India and NTPC.The Indira Congress party may try to get as much as possible for these from Indian Citizens.
2.The Baltic Dry Index is still low.Global Economy is in trouble.
3.Brent Crude steady at a higher level.
4.The Rupee is strengthening,but how far it will be allowed by the Indira Congress party remains to be seen,as a stronger rupee will adversely affect the exports.CAD etc may deteriorate further.
5.Gold,Silver,Copper and crude seem good long and short term bets.
      I'll be buying Gold in small lots.

WEEKLY TREND;4/11/2012

1.M M Singh has announced $ 1 trillion INFRASTRUCTURE expenditure in the next 5 years.India's,nominal, GDP is,reportedly,about, $1.8 Trillion.That is, 11% of India's GDP,per year for the next 5 years.With CAD and Fiscal Deficit HIGH and BOP precarious,India is tending towards BANKRUPTCY.BUT the Stock Markets may be BULLISH..... Crude and other Commodities are,reportedly, KEPT LOW by Obama[US Dollar higher],with an eye on the US Elections on November 6th,after which date,these may shoot up.I'm buying PHYSICAL Gold and Silver in SMALL LOTS,on dips,till November 6th,2012.
2.The Baltic dry Index is STILL very LOW, though above the 200 DMA....
3.Global Trade,has come down,reportedly,and may enter the negative range....That is NO Trade.A dangerous situation.
4.F&O cues:

Total Puts add 26 lakh shares in Open Interest

Total Calls add 11.6 lakh shares in Open Interest

This is BEARISH.The above figures are from THIS link.
To be continued........

18/10/2012

Arun Jaitley to The Hindu,regarding M M Singh's criminal role in 2 G spectrum scam.:-
" “The PMO must respond to charges of deliberate concealment of critical evidence since concealment is construed to be a part of criminal intent.”"
   An excerpt from the link aboive:-
"According to Mr. Chandrashekhar, the note was submitted on December 4, 2007. More importantly, it was not written suo motu, but submitted in response to a specific enquiry made by the Prime Minister regarding the financial implications of the allocation of scarce 2G spectrum at the 2001 price. Mr. Chandrashekhar explained that his recommendation for a staggering increase in spectrum price was based among other things, on the size of the market, the improvement in teledensity and the fact that demand had exceeded supply which was reflected through a long queue of 575 applicants for the licence. However, Dr. Singh never responded to his note.

The timing of this note reveals that had the Prime Minister acted upon Mr. Chandrashekhar’s advice, the government could have easily prevented the scam, since this note was dated 5 weeks before the scam took place on January 10, 2008."

India's CAD may have hit the HIGHEST,as per Nomura.
The following graph is from the link above from moneycontrol site.

Shorting of Silver,with permission.This may be the case with LIBOR rate fixing,Derivatives and other scams.

Sensex  +181;          18792    [The rise in Sensex is baffling,as both FII and DII have sold]
vix[fear index]:-
-India  -       14.76;-0.41;-2.70%
Institutional Buying:-      
i)Foreign Rs Crores      -           -69
ii)Indian    " "                  -           -135
BDI   $  989;  -10;-1.0%;   ABOVE 200 DMA of 901[weak Dollar],but too low
, GLOBAL ECONOMY  in trouble.Fiscal Deficits and Debts  of many nations,ARE VERY HIGH.
2015:-Bond Redemption of the Nations having the HIGHEST Debts,led by Japan.HUGE QEs expected.Currencies will crumble.Commodities will dominate.Land too.
Gold       1742 $/US Oz  [Higher margin requirements for gold trades, were announced Friday (4/5/2012)by the CME Group.This favours those Shorting Gold and is against those who hold longs]
Silver     1055 $/kg
Copper   3.7126 $/lb  
Reuters CRB Index US $ 308.75
Brent Crude    112.38  $/bbl
----------------------
Crude Oil (Indian Basket  17/10/2012
-     In US Dollar ($/bbl) 111.79
-     In Indian Rupees (`/bbl) 5896.92
-     last fortnight      "   "         5896.67[September 16 th to 30th,2012]
Exchange Rate  (`/$) 52.75
----------------------
US Dollar Index 79.38
Re V Dollar          53.58
HSBC Markit Purchasing Manger's Index,was 52.8,in August,compared to 52.9, in July,2012
Above 50 indicates growth.
Nifty Futures [Monthly]  16.10 points , PREMIUM,18/10/2012
P/C  NIFTY 1.05

Will be updated.......