8/3/20

1.Indices may fall about 35% in due course,due to COVID-19 and its aftermath.The situation is eerily reminiscent of 2008.
2.China cannot export and hence cannot import Commodities.Crude may fall,as Saudi has flooded the Market with Crude.US Oil Cos may be adversely affected.
  Indian OMC and Paint Stocks may rise.
3.India's Banking Sector is very weak.
4.Global Credit is low,Debt high.
5.Tourism and hence Aviation,Cruise Ships and associated Industries will suffer.
6.Gold and Silver may rise.
7.FIIs have sold in March so far,and this is bad for Nifty.

WEEKLY TREND;2/2/2014

1.Indian stocks may fall with VOLATILITY,as Dow has fallen on 31/1/2014.There are no triggers,but fears of fund outflow,due to the taper,in QE,by the US Federal Reserve,after which the FIIs have been heavy sellers.The Rupee continues to be weak.
2.Gold,Silver prices [and those of many others(Stocks,Currencies and Commodities)],are being  manipulated,with impunity, by the vested interests,misusing the Derivatives in all areas of Human Activity. 
  Crude price is kept higher,while those of Gold,Silver,Platinum and Palladium fall steeply.A higher Crude price helps,LNG marketeers.
      Brent Crude has fallen to US $ 106.40,as developing economies',"growth", may be less,though the fair price of Brent should be about US $ 90/bbl,going by the fall in the prices of Gold,Silver etc.
      Indian oil refineries have started using Latam Crudes which are cheaper.
3.BDI continued its fall.This is a leading indicator of the Global Economy.
4.China's Shadow Banking System faces problems.
5.Fukushima,Syria,Africa[Sudan],continue to be, major Global problems.
Will be updated.......

News;9/3/2013

1.Gross of PIMCO,VERY HIGHLY optimistic of the US Economic Recovery.but I doubt the high claims.Time will tell.
2.German Fund Manager arrested in Florence,on fraud cases,in US 3.The dreaded Derivatives are back.
4.FDI inflow falls by 34% in 2012.I think this is good,and hope that FDIs will be stopped.These entail huge Revenue Loss,Political slavery etc......
5.India's Rupee at the mercy of FIIs[ and FDIs in due course] due to anti-India policies of M M Singh-led Coalition.
6.US Federal Reserve bails out Foreign banks.
7.Jim Rogers,says,all the Central banks of the World are printing notes.He says,Global savers, at a disadvantage.
8.India;- A Surveillance Police State,under the UPA.Google says,the UPA made 13 requests, a day for user data:-second only to the USA!!
9.The claim, as regards the under-recoveries of the OMCs by Moily is wrong.
10.Maruti Suzuki to stop production of petrol-cars,every Saturday in its Gurgaon plant.
Will be updated.........

WEEKLY TREND;24/2/2013

1.Indian Stock Markets may be flat.
     Indian Banks have to meet Basel III norms by April this year.Banking Stocks may be under pressure.
     India Inc face CDR and FCCB problems.
2.BDI is low.Global Economy is weak.
3.Crude price, is suspected to kept high, by manipulation while other Commodities like Gold,Silver,Copper etc fall HEAVILY.
       There seems, to be some connection among:-
i)Crude price [manipulated]
ii)India's Rupee in the hands of the FIIs [manipulated]
iii)The OMCs raising the prices of petroleum fuels at will with total disregard to the Democratic Republic Of India,transparency etc.
iv)Items above have relations with MNCs and private players gaining by the hikes in the petroleum fuel prices.
  India's OMCs are making HUGE profits,as per my calculation.I have sent a letter to the President of India regarding the same.
4. Because of item 3 above and expected hikes in Railway Budget,this month,Inflation may rise.
5.Gold,Silver,Copper and other Commodities[which include Food Items],long term BULLISH,as HYPER-INFLATION is expected.
       The UPA II Government simply,does not want to control the Inflation.
6.M M Singh has started talking about GMO.So also,the Minister For Agriculture,Sharad Pawar.Food Security Bill,proposed,seems to have an indirect connection to GMO and may exploited by the UPA II Government.
     GMO stocks are fancied,as some MORE concessions may be offered to the Foreign GMO Cos. 
      The UPA II Government is under pressure from outside forces to usher in anti-India and pro-MNC policies.

M M Singh's CRISIS CAPITALISM for FDI....

  M M Singh, is,a member,Club Of Rome,NOT ELECTED,and is very strongly suspected to be PLANTED by the IMF and the World bank controlled by the Western Globalist oligarchs.
  The Globalists misuse,"CRISIS CAPITALISM", for ushering in UNPOPULAR  policies favouring  them,but anti-national,anti-poor,anti-Middle Class and ant-Fixed-income Groups,of India.
    Many policies,from 2004,have been implemented this way.What more,M M Singh himself,is very strongly,suspected to have been made the FINANCE MINISTER IN THE 1990s,under P.V.Narasimha Rao,by resorting to such a shenanigan, by M M Singh himself along with his master,the IMF.These have resulted in huge Financial losses by way Tax Revenues to the National Exchequer,not to speak of the many mega-corruptions,like CoalGate,2 G Spectrum scam,the Under-recoveries Scam of the OMCs,started from ONLY 2005,SEZs,etc.
     Now the RBI Governor Subba Rao says the CAD is HIGH and this can only be brought down by allowing more FDIs!!!What a LIE!!!he has been ordered by the Crisis Capitalist M M Singh.
    FDI will result in :-
1.Loss of Revenue by way of Tax concessions.
2.The Indian Rupee is now in the CONTROL of the FIIs and NOT the RBI!This CONTROL will further be consolidated,by the Foreigners.When a naation LOSES CONTROL over her own CURRENCY,she is doomed.The M M Singh Government has allowed.What legitimacy,it has?Is this NOT anti-National?
    What India needs to do urgently is:-
1.Reduce Crude Oil Import,on an urgently based,on the BREAK-EVEN price for refining.Not doing do,will make the US Dollar against the Indian Rupee,causing a vicious cycle,when the nations' CAD would go on rising! 
2.STOP the stimuli started in 2008 and reportedly continuing.This is reported to be Rs 13 LAKH Crores.
3.Stop the tax concessions for the SEZs.These are reported to be very high.
4.Switzerland,has reportedly,agreed to provide data on Clients,from February,2013.BRING THE BLACKMONEY back.
5.India seems to be losing huge sums.via Transfer Pricing of both the MNCs and Indian Cos.
  High time these were done.Else India will be BANKRUPTED with wrong polices.
26/3/2013:-
      Now, Chidambaram is following Crisis Capitalism.He has allowed CAD to rise to 5%,and threatens that it would rise to 6%,in the Current Fiscal.Fear is the key!!Crude Oil import has to be reduced.This is the correct method now.But he does not do that,for the PRIMACY of the US Dollar and to bring in anti-India and pro-MNC polices like FDI in Defence which will entail Revenue Loss,causing a vicious cycle,to be started.
Will be continued.....

   

Manipulations.....

Draghi manipulated the Euro so that he would not face Inflation.And this may dampen 'recovery"!!!Now there are a whole lot of manipulations going on.Japan is going ahead with QE.
     US Dollar has strengthened and Gold,Silver etc have come down but Crude price is RISING!!!
1.India's Rupee is also kept weak,as CAD is HIGH.But the payment for India's Crude is in US Dollars.How foolish!
2.FIIs control India's Rupee instead of the RBI!
3.Gold import is being curbed.This may strengthen the US Dollar and again the payment for the Crude,the IMPORT of,which is never reduced or sopped,based on the break-even price for refining.
4.India's Fiscal Deficit is being kept DELIBERATELY HIGH to cite the same,as an excuse for ushering anti-India and pro-MNC policies.
5.The so-called,UNDER-RECOVERIES claimed by the OMCs are IMAGINARY but they are being misused for raising the prices of petroleum fuels for the following:-
i)To benefit the Private players Indian and Foreign[Shell India,Mittal,RIL,Essar etc]
ii)To benefit the MNCs who are going to enter Retail marketing of petroleum Fuels in India,after the hikes are handsome enough.That's why Diesel is ,proposed, to be increased by 40 to 50 paise every month.
To be continued.......

Hot Issues Of The Week

Rail ad goof-up shows Delhi in Pakistan.Read here

Court orders Fed to release bailout records.Read here.

CNG prices up 50 paise to Rs 21.70 per kg.Read here.

Witnesses allege biggest anti-naxal operation of 2009 was fake.Read here.

10 cos shortlisted for Unique ID project.Read here

FIIs Are Traders.Read here

Bill upgrading Presidency College to university passed.Read here

Greece, India Rate Move Boost Dollar.Read here

Can the USA recover economically?Read here.

Telengana

Iran

Aghanistan

H1N1

Nuclear Accident Liability Bill

CDS Ban By EU.Greece.

Hot issues of the week

1.Greece and the rest of PIIGS!.Western Economy.China dumps US treasuries.
2.Telengana.Student immolates himself.Troops to stay at Osmania, says SC.Read here and here.
Telangana row: Fresh violence erupts in Hyd.Read here.
3.Iran and Afghanistan.
4.H1N1.
5.Inflation.Food prices soaring.
6.FIIs turn net sellers in 2010.
7.Indian markets to suffer in short term: Fortress Financial Services,Read here.
8.Wary of losses in Q4, PSBs book profit in bonds.
The difference in the yield of 1-year and 10-year securities stood at 312 bps, at the end of last week, as per data with the Clearing Corporation of India. The multi-year high indicates that traders believe the economy to be in a high growth phase and are expecting rates to go up from hereon. Read here.
9.Budget expectations and effects on the stock markets.
10.EU,has its way with wines and Indians!Read here.
11.Savings accounts will earn you more.Interest to be calculated on a daily basis as per RBI directive.
Read here.
12.DMK opposes Fuel Price Hike and deregulation.Read here.

MARKET OUTLOOK FROM ECONOMIC TIMES
Nifty5180-5200 support zone under threat
Implied Volatility is at 18.59%, which,  is unsustainable.
Market correction possible. FIIs have been  ‘shorting’ stock futures and  are selling in cash, along with buying of some ‘out-of-money’ Put options. The support zone of 5180-5200 is certainly under threat. Read here.