18/7/17

1.Sensex tanks by about 364 points.Cess on Cigarettes,fall in ITC by about 15% and profit-booking,the reasons.
  Anyway,the Indices are high and euphoria,seems to ave set in,due to Liquidity.
2.Prez Trump's Obamacare repeal fails.Reforms may not happen.But rate hikes may also NOT happen.
3.ONGC-HPCl decison on 19/7/17
4.NHs may be offered for Operation and Maintenance,for 30 years.

GST regome from 1/7/17

1.India came under GST regime from 1/7/17.Huge volatility in the,market expected.Economy may suffer,in the immediate short-term.
2.Reported Inflation low.Rate cut expected on 2nd August 2017
3.Gold and Silver fall,the latter,massively,but recover a bit.Silver is still cheap.good buying opportunity,in small lots.
4.Massive correction expected in the coming days,in Sensex and Nifty,despite the anticipated,rate cut by the RBI on 2/8/17.
5.RBI gets enhanced Powers,to deal with the NPAs,though the reason for te high NPAs,was RBI's abysmal oversight.
Will be updated......

5/3/17

Sensex 28832
Gold Rs 29020/10 grams
Silver Rs 42532/Kg
NG rs 187.10/mm Btu
Rupee 66.81 V $
Brent Rs 3556/bbl
USD Index 101.40
Bit Coin $ 1259
BDI $939
Own Physical Gold,as BOfA,has predicted H2 of 2017,for the Dow to collapse more than 52%,as per an article in Zerohedge!
Things to watch;-
8th March a famous IPO
US Federal rate hike
Ides Of march for US Debt Ceiling 

Weekly Trend,18/9/16

1.Important events this month:-
a)FOMC meet on 21st and 22nd
b)BoJ meet on the 21st
2.Gold Rs 30813/10 grams
3.Silver Rs 45273.Kg
4.Rupee 66.98 V $
5.US Dollar Index 96.04
6.Brent $ 45.77/bbl
7.$ BDI 800,200 DMA 548,66
8.Sensex 28611
Correction expected,but an IPO,may keep the Index higher for day.
Physical Gold and Silver can be bought on dips on a SIP basis.
9.BitCoin $ 607.6

4th Week August 2016

1.The eagerly awaited FOMC Meet,on 26/8/16,was a surprise.While,Yellen sounded Hawkish and Dovish,with a confusing signal,Stanley Fischer, was point blank and asserted that there would be rate hike,next month.
   Expect:-
i)Commodities and Commodity shares to fall
ii)The US Dollar to rise
iii)FPIs to move money from EMs.India's Sensex and Nifty may fall.
2.Sensex fell to 27782
3. Gold Rs 30990/10 Grams
4.Silver Rs 43875/Kg
5.Rupee 67.06 V $
6.USD Index 95.20
7.HUI 239.58
8.$ BDI 720,200 DMA 533.46
9.Brent $ 49.92/bbl
10.NG Rs 196/mm Btu

Weekly Trend 8/11/2015

JDU Coalition wins Bihar.Sensex may fall.
BDI low

WEEKLY TREND; 16/8/15

1.Sensex depends on rate cut by the RBI and US Federal Reaserve's rate decision. .
    PBOC's new policy fixing the value of Yuan,may make the Currency and Stock markets volatile. 
2.BDI $ 1055;200 DMA 801.41
3.Crude may remain low,due to less Rig Count.
4.The following stocks may be good:-
i)Crude Oil refiners,Logistics and transport.
ii)Copper price low.Electric motor windings,
iii)Jewelries

7/8/15

Sensex falls by 61.74 points.
Crude oil,Gold,Silver,Copper etc cheaper.hence the following stocks may be good:-
1.Refining
2.Those using Crude or its derivatives as feed
3. Jewelery
4.Power
5.Electrical items,like makers of copper winding,Motors etc
6.BDI $ 1201   ;ABOVE 200 DMA 801.79
7.IMF has postponed the renminbi's ,being included in the SDR Basket to September November 2016.
8.Brent $ 49.42 /bbl
     Some negatives for the Indian Stocks:-
i)Credit may pick up ONLY by March 2016,as per SBI CEO
ii)The so-called "reforms",are being  delayed.
iii)Public Sector banks stare at huge NPAs.Rs 5.5 Lac crores.
iv)State Discoms in troubble.
v)Realty in trouble due to high rates and low liquidity.
vi)many IPOs will reduce Liquidity.

3/8/15

Sensex  +72;   28187
Gold $ 1084/US Oz    Rs 24775/10 Grams
Silver $ 465/kg [Rs 33442/Kg]
Rupee 64.1204 V US Dollar 
US Dollar Index 97.47
Brent $ 49.52/bbl     4/8/15  at 0440 Hrs IST

WEEKLY TREND;26/7/15

1.Gold may fall to Rs 23000/ 10 grams as per reports.Silver may follow suit too Rs 30000/kg.
2.Indian Stocks may be volatile due to F&O on 30/7/15
P/C Nifty 1.28
3.BDI $ 1086;200 DMA $ 793,60
4.Brent low $ 54.62 / bbl
5.Greece,West Asia,Ukraine geo-political problems.Negative
6.Peurto Rico,Chicago bankrupt.Global Bond Markets weak.US Federal reserve "leaks" rate hike plan and other data.China weak.
Negative financial/economical indicators
7.Commodities fall continues.
Bloomberg Commodities Index 93.2871 ;down 1.17%;down 1.11033
Will be updated.......

3/7/15

Sensex up 147 points;
Greek    deal  reached   as  per Varoufakis

WEEKLY TREND;26/4/15

Sensex may fall,with volatility, due to expiry date.
MAT.weak Monsoon forecast,weak Q4 numbers may also adversely affect the Market.
BDI low.
Silver at 5 year low.Trend downwards.Wait for it to break 15.41/US Oz.Next support level is $ 14 /US Oz
PHYSICAL silver looks attractive for long term investment  and short term trading,due to the Global economy and Geo-politics .

Physical Gold long term trend is up and the short term one down.Can be bought at current price levels, for long term profits.Next support at $1000/US Oz

23/4/15

Sensex falls by 157 points
Gold ,Silver and the US Dollar fall [the first two rise due to this,afterwards,but marginally]
Gold price suppressed by the BIS to keep the US Dollar strong after Nixon's abrogation of the Bretton-Woods.

20/4/15

Derivatives lack collateral and hence ,it seems,the US Federal Reserve is resorting to QEs,RRPs[Reverse Repurchase Agreement],for the US Treasuries to ACT as the same[collateral is being created by printing money,reducing Liquidity etc].
A revisit to 2008 is most likely as per many experts.
Sensex -555.8;      2786.21
Sensex may fall further due to the retrospective taxation on the FIIs to the tune of Rs 40,000 Crores and anticipated poor Q4,from India Inc.
Rupee   63.08 V the US Dollar
U S Dollar Index  97.96
Gold MCX Futures Rs 26829 / 10 Grams.rise due to Akhsay Trithiya.
Silver MCX Futures Rs 36080/10 Grams.Silver seems good for Trading now.Long term also,good.
Brent $ 63.45 / bbl
NG Rs 161 /mm Btu

16/4/15

Sensex -134;    28666
Greece may exit Eurozone
Gold and Silver subdued despite the fall  in US Dollar
Dow flat
RIL and GAIL Q4 results on 17/4/15
Central bankers attack Gold and silver,but money is locked in the Derivatives[about US $ 1.5 Quadrillion],among a few mega-banks of he developed economies.
      BIS,IMF,WB,WEF and the MSM keep quiet about the Derivatives.......
Modi signs deals with Canada,while Jaitley and the RBI team attend the Spring Meet of the IMF and the WB,in the USA from 14th to the 20th instant. Jaitley's meeting actually starts from the 17th.What is he doing there?
Will be updated.......

14/4/15

Sensex  +165;     29044
Gold MCX Futures Rs 26545 / 10  Grams'
Silver  "          "        "   36400/Kg
NG Rs 158 /mm Btu
Brent $ 58.49/bbl
Rupee 62.2871 V the US Dollar
U S Dollar index 98.80.Euro rises aginst the US Dollar
Greece may exit EU via Default.
As per many articles on the net;-
i)US Federal Reserve and ECB are keeping interests low:-
a) for servicing their huge Debts
b)The threats posed by the Derivatives connected with low interest rates.
THAT IS,THE BANKERS HAVE BET ON LOW RATES.If the rate is hiked they will lose.
ii)A decades long Global Depression is anticipated
iii)Global Financial Crash due to the Derivatives is imminent.
Will be updated.......

WEEKLY TREND;12/4/15

1.Modi signs 20 agreements with France including the dangerous Nuke Deal involving untested Areva reactors.
     Rafale fighters are reported to be too costly compared to the Sukhois. 
      Air Bus may start manufacture in India. France to invest $ 20 Billion in India.
2.The Indian indices may rise.
3.BDI $ 580;  200 DMA  882.16
4.Physical Gold and Silver,look attractive due to dangerous geo-political and abysmal Global economic situations.
Will be updated................

9/4/15

1.Sensex rises.
2.Moody's raises India's rating from 'stable' to "positive".
3.Austria will not guarantee bank deposits.Bank-bail in signed,in G 20,in Australia November last,"secretly"comes into effect slowly...
4.Gold [$ 1193/US Oz]and Silver [MCX futures Rs 36300/Kg] fall as the US dollar index rises in Dollar terms.
US Dollar Index rises to 99.00
5.Next payment deadline for Greece 12th may 2015,Euro 75.7 Crores.
Will be updated...........

7/4/15

1.Sensex rises by 12 points,after falling by about more than 200 points.
  RBI keeps rates unchanged but SBI,ICICI and HDFC cut rates from 0.15 o 0.25%.
2.Fertilizer Stocks rise.
3.Divestment by the NDA and IPOs by many Cos have started.This means market has topped.
Will be updated.......

1/4/15

1.Sensex rises by 303 points due to:-
i)FTP with subsidy for exports of goods and services
ii)Expecting rate cut om 7/4/15
iii)Gas and oil price pooling for Urea fertilizer plants,resulting lower prices
2.NDA raises tariff values on Gold and Silver imports
Gold from $ 372 to 385/10 Grams
Silver from $ 512 to 543/Kg
3.Brent $ 55.11 / bbl ;US Dollar Index 98.28 at 2030 Hrs IST   
Oil Platform in Mexico explodes.Iran nuke talks paused.Brent $  56,72/bbl at 2045 Hrs IST
Will be updated.....