16.4.20 IST 0500 Hrs

1.$ BDI 706 on 15.4.20
2.Brent Crude has fallen by about 6%.
3.Gold & Silver Bullsih
4.Corona making things difficult,overall.
5.Be wary of Equities.

Weekly Trend;7/7/2013

1.El Baradei,not ELECTED becomes the PM of Egypt.The Game of the Globalists.
  M M Singh,who lost the only Lok Sabha poll he contested is PLANTED by the IMF,World Bank etc.Other PMs were Mario Monti and Popademos 
    Other Minister in India are Nandan Nilekani[connection to the Yale University of the USA] and Montek Singh Ahuliwalia[World bank]
LATEST:-ELBARADEI HAS NOT BEEN APPOINTED AS AT 1700HRS IST,DUE TO OPPOSITION FROM CONSERVATIVE SALAFIST PARTY.
2.Indian Stocks will be volatile with a positive bias.
3.Gold and Silver prices are being suppressed misusing the Derivatives.
5.Brent Crude about $108/bbl,due to Egypt.About 7% rise in,less than  a week.Negative for stocks and Inflation will be higher.

WEEKLY TREND;26/5/2013

India:-
1.Markets  may be volatile with a negative bias.EXPIRY on 30/5/2013.
2.BDI is lower than 200 DMA and is unable to pierce the previous top.Global Economy is in trouble
3.Gold and Silver price suppression continues.Crude is kept HIGHER!
      Brent price is expected to fall to $95,as per reports, due to LESS demand.
Global:-
1.Fukushima is proving more and more dangerous to the World as each day passes.
2.Syrian Government is winning the Civil War.
3.EU to take action on highly LEVERAGED collaterals by the Shadow Economy

4/4/2013

1.Brent Crude falls by more than $2/bbl,due to:-

i)High US Inventory

ii)Less demand which may last a few more months.


Sensex      ;             -288  ;         18510 
vix[Volatility index]:-            
India  -                      15.85;+ 0.98;+ 6.59 %
Institutional Buying:-        
 i)Foreign  Rs  Crores      -         -326
ii)Indian    " "                  -          +65   
BDI   $                                      866;-11;-1.27%
Falling.Near or ON  200 DMA of  865.Unable to pirce the previous HIGH.
GLOBAL ECONOMY  in trouble,
2015:-Bond Redemption of the Nations having the HIGHEST Debts,led by Japan.HUGE QEs expected.Currencies will crumble.Commodities will dominate.Land too. 
Gold       1554 $/US Oz ;                  Rs   29238 / 10 grams[MCX]
[ CME reduces margins in Gold($ 1700 per contract),Silver about $4300 per contract,Silver and  Copper($500),on 16/11/2012.
Shorting Gold and Silver are,reportedly,aided by the various Agencies,and turn a blind eye or look the other way. ]
Silver      865 $/kg  ;                      Rs      50722 /Kg [MCX}
Copper   3.3662 $/lb    
CCI or Reuters CRB Index US $ 288.47
Brent Crude    106.34  $/bbl                 [43% in Indian Crude basket]
Oman Dubai Crude price $ 104.85/bbl [57% in  Indian Crude basket];1/4/2013 
Indian Crude Basket as per the above $105.49/bbl [1/4/2013  One day Lag possible,hence approximate.Pl see previous day's Brent price to get the exact one]
----------------------
Data from THIS link.
Crude Oil (Indian Basket 3/4/2013
-     In US Dollar ($/bbl) 107.84
-    In  Rs   (`/bbl)          5865.42  
-     last fortnight      "   "         5752.03[March 15 th to 31st,2013]
Exchange Rate  (`/$) 54.39
----------------------
US  Dollar Index       82.71
 Rs    V Dollar          54.65
http://www.indiainfoline.com/Markets/News/India-HSBC-March-services-PMI-falls-to-51.4-reports/5650900409

The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a measure of factory production -stood at 51.4 for march[Power Shortage] against 54.2 in February, 2013. It stood at 53.7 in November.
Above 50 indicates growth.Applies only for production,but NOT Utilities.
The HSBC services Purchasing Managers' Index, based on a survey of around 400 companies, fell to 54.2 in February from a one-year high of 57.5 in January. It was the biggest one-month fall in nearly a year.
Nifty Futures [Monthly]       about 20 points  , PREMIUM,4/4/2013
P/C  NIFTY-      0.88

25/3/2013

1.Fake notes on the rise:-RBI
2.IMF does a M M Singh in Cyprus.
     IMF and the World Bank destroy nations with their,"REFORMS" or anti-National policies,,which Stiglitz calls "IMF Riots". WTO is also involved,in this mischief with TRIPS.
3.Cyprus 'drama' ends with IMF doing a M M Singh.
Excerpt from the link in item 3:-
'The revised accord spares bank accounts below the insured limit of 100,000 euros. It imposes losses that two EU officials said would be no more than 40 percent on uninsured depositors at Bank of Cyprus Plc, the largest bank, which will take over the viable assets of Cyprus Popular Bank Pcl (CPB), the second biggest.

Cyprus Popular Bank, 84 percent owned by the government, will be wound down. Those who will be largely wiped out include uninsured depositors and bondholders, including senior creditors. Senior bondholders will also contribute to the recapitalization of Bank of Cyprus.'

     Upto 40% THEFT from Bank Accounts.

Sensex  -54 ; 18681
Nifty Futures [Monthly]   about 48.80 points  Premium,25/3/2013
P/C  0.73
vix[fear index]:-
India                                                  16.36;+ 0.82;+ 5.28 %
Foreign    D/M/Y :-    Rs Crores -     -717
Indian        Rs Crores :-                        -423
BDI   $           933;  +3;  +0.32%;ABOVE 200 DMA of 866,but LOW.Shipping,GLOBAL ECONOMY  in trouble.
Gold       1604 $/US Oz   Rs 29571 / 10 grams [ Manipulation as Crude price ONLY is going up on a weak Dollar but others fall,especially Gold and Silver to some extent.Big Oil and "THE" Bankers?]
 [CME has reduced Margins for Gold,SIlver and Copper contracts on 15/11/2012]
Silver     928  $/kg      Rs 54201 / Kg
Copper   3.4426 $/lb  
Reuters CRB Index US $  294.70
Brent Crude    108.14  $/bbl      [43% Indi Crude basket]
Oman Dubai Crude  $105.07/bl [57%R Indian Crude basket] 25/3/2013
Indian Crude Basket [aprox due to date variation] 106.39/bbl
----------------------
Crude Oil (Indian Basket) 22/3/2013
-     In US Dollar ($/bbl) 104.78
-     In Indian Rupees (`/bbl)   5693.75
-     last fortnight      "   "          5822.80  [March    1st to 15 th, ,2013]
Exchange Rate  (`/$) 54.34
----------------------
US Dollar Index  82.82
Re V Dollar          54.28
The HSBC manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) , compiled by Markit, 54.2 in February,2013,against 53.2 in January, 2012.In January, the PMI reading was 57.5.
The HSBC services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), based on a survey of around 400 companies, fell to 54.2 in February from January,2013, 57.5.
Above 50 indicates growth.

Will be updated....

WEEKLY TREND;17/3/2013

1.RBI's Monetary policy Review on the 19th instant is under sustained and intense LOBBYING from the vested interests,to reduce rates,despite HIGH inflation.
      The scenario is bleak, due t the following:-
i)India Inc faces CDR and FCCB problems.
ii)Only a few Indian Cos have the financial strength[Cash Cows].Despite that,they go in for Acquisitions.
iii)Global Trade is weak.
iv)The Budget for 2013/14,is very bad and anti-India.Many avenues for revenue,were ignored.The STIMULI continue,eroding the wealth of Indians,by as much as 300%,
 due to high Inflation.
v)PSU Banks have high NPAs
Private banks seem t be involved in ILLEGAL activities,as per Cobrapost online magazine.
vi)Crude Oil IMPORT,which is the MAIN contributor to the adverse CAD,is NOT reduced for the PRIMACY of the US Dollar,even at the cost of  a weak Rupee viz-a-viz the US Currency.
vii)In the International level the Banks are reported to continue with massive frauds.
viii)Mid-caps are crashing due to insider trading,as per reports.
      Due to the above,except for LOAN-FREE Cos,the intrinsic value of many scrips,is very low.
ix)But "cheap money",.from nations with low or ZERO interest rates, is increasing Inflation in India and also raises the indices.
2.BDI has crossed the 200 DMA but is still too low for comfort.
3.Crude Oil demand is low as per ADNOC.The fair price of Brent Crude ,is about $105 per bbl.
4.US Federal Reserve,is playing cat and mouse with its SUBSIDY[QEs],Any form of SUBSIDY, against the WTO rules. but the poor of the poor Nations,are deprived of subsidies,despite their standard of living being very low.
      Hence Gold and Silver are volatile.I bought a small amount of Gold,thus taking advantage of this opportunity.
5.All in all,a crash is due any moment.